The Pinstripe Bowl brings together two programs that expected to be playing on a much bigger stage in 2025. Penn State and Clemson entered the season with playoff-level expectations, but both teams struggled to meet those goals. Injuries, inconsistency, and roster changes turned promising starts into frustrating finishes.
Now, with one game left, both sides have a chance to reset the tone heading into the offseason.
How the Season Slipped Away
Penn State’s year never fully stabilized. The Nittany Lions showed flashes of strong play, but mistakes in key moments kept them from building momentum. A late coaching change added another layer of uncertainty, with interim coach Terry Smith stepping in to manage bowl preparation while the program looks ahead under new leadership.
Clemson faced similar challenges but on a larger scale. Depth issues became a season-long problem, and the situation worsened heading into the bowl game. With 27 scholarship players unavailable, including several starters, Clemson enters the Pinstripe Bowl far from full strength.
Despite the setbacks, both teams remain motivated to avoid ending the season with another loss.
Important Factors Heading Into the Game
One of the biggest advantages for Clemson is experience at quarterback. Cade Klubnik will play the final game of his college career, bringing leadership and stability to the Tigers’ offense. His ability to manage the game could be critical in cold weather conditions.
Penn State’s strategy is expected to look different. With multiple opt-outs on defense and offense, the Nittany Lions are likely to rely on a controlled, run-heavy approach. This style fits well with winter conditions at Yankee Stadium, where footing and ball security could decide drives.
Defensively, Penn State hands play-calling duties to Anthony Poindexter, who has filled this role in past seasons. Clemson maintains continuity with Tom Allen leading the defense, which may help limit confusion in a game with shortened preparation time.
Penn State vs Clemson: Side-by-Side Comparison
| Category | Penn State | Clemson |
|---|---|---|
| Coaching Setup | Interim coach | Established leadership |
| Quarterback Situation | Less experienced | Veteran starter |
| Offensive Style | Run-focused | Balanced attack |
| Player Availability | Key opt-outs | Heavy injury list |
| Bowl Game Trend | Inconsistent | Historically strong |
This comparison shows why oddsmakers expect a close contest.
Spread Outlook and Final Pick
Clemson enters the game as a small favorite, largely due to quarterback experience and past bowl success. Historically, Clemson has performed well in non-playoff bowl games, even when championship goals are no longer in play.
However, this matchup may come down to effort and execution rather than reputation. Penn State’s ability to control time of possession and limit Clemson’s offensive opportunities could keep the score tight. Cold weather and a potentially slick field may also reduce explosive plays.
Final Prediction: Penn State covers the spread in a competitive, low-scoring game. Clemson’s experience keeps them in control early, but Penn State’s physical approach helps them stay within the number.
For more postseason insights, check out our college football bowl previews and weekly matchup analysis.
